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Title Modelling the impact of legislative interventions on future waste production within territorial division
ID_Doc 12714
Authors Smejkalová, V; Somplák, R; Pluskal, J
Title Modelling the impact of legislative interventions on future waste production within territorial division
Year 2024
Published
Abstract Planning in the waste management is usually based on models of the expected production of individual waste fractions in the future. Waste management is a dynamically developing area that is subject to a number of external interventions in an effort to support the circular economy. Waste production is thus influenced by legislative changes, technological development, etc. Taking into account interventions in the system that have not yet been reflected in historical data is possible thanks to projections. Based on the expected production, it is necessary to plan the infrastructure and the necessary technologies. The unique approach to modelling waste production projections subject to legislative change is presented in this contribution. The principle uses previous experience with similar interventions for other waste fractions, thereby estimating the separation potential. In addition, the separation potential is determined for individual municipalities based on their level of separation. The projection is presented for the model of textile production in the Czech Republic, where from 2025 it will be mandatory to allow the citizen to separate it. According to the results of the projection, an increase in the production of textile waste in the Czech Republic is expected by 228% by the year 2030 compared to the scenario where the legislative intervention would not be implemented. Thanks to projections, it will be possible to optimally use the regional potential and effectively set up the collection infrastructure tailored to individual producers. Focusing on regions, the results can be used for environmental management and policy.
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