| Title | Solar photovoltaic waste and resource potential projections in Australia, 2022-2050 |
|---|---|
| ID_Doc | 25690 |
| Authors | Tan, VRY; Deng, R; Egan, R |
| Title | Solar photovoltaic waste and resource potential projections in Australia, 2022-2050 |
| Year | 2024 |
| Published | |
| Abstract | Solar photovoltaic (PV) waste and resource projections are integral for end-of-life (EoL) management. Addressing gaps in Australian studies, this paper aims to produce improved projections from 2022 to 2050. This study uses up-to-date, location-based installation data, distributed practical lifetime estimates by system size, current literature on market share and material composition over time and recovery rates, and provides a closed loop material analysis. In 2050, cumulative PV waste is estimated at 2,000,000-3,000,000 tonnes for slow, conservative, and realistic forecast installations, though under ambitious installs, waste will be 1-2 times more. Additionally, in 5 years PV EoL silver and aluminium could supply on average 30 % of future PV demand, 50 % in 15 years, and even up to 100 % in 25 years, considering realistic or ambitious forecast installations. These findings seek to assist in establishing sustainable EoL PV management, including the planning of logistics, appropriate recycling methods, consumer-appropriate policy, and the integration of circularity. |
| https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resconrec.2023.107316 |
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