| Title | Electricity demand and price forecasting model for sustainable smart grid using comprehensive long short term memory |
|---|---|
| ID_Doc | 42467 |
| Authors | Fatema, I; Kong, XY; Fang, GF |
| Title | Electricity demand and price forecasting model for sustainable smart grid using comprehensive long short term memory |
| Year | 2021 |
| Published | International Journal Of Sustainable Engineering, 14, 6 |
| Abstract | This paper proposes an electricity demand and price forecast model of the smart city large datasets using a single comprehensive Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based on a sequence-to-sequence network. Real electricity market data from the Australian Energy Market Operator (AEMO) is used to validate the effectiveness of the proposed model. Several simulations with different configurations are executed on actual data to produce reliable results. The validation results indicate that the devised model is a better option to forecast the electricity demand and price with an acceptably smaller error. A comparison of the proposed model is also provided with a few existing models, Support Vector Machine (SVM), Regression Tree (RT), and Neural Nonlinear Autoregressive network with Exogenous variables (NARX). Compared to SVM, RT, and NARX, the performance indices, Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of the proposed forecasting model has been improved by 11.25%, 20%, and 33.5% respectively considering demand, and by 12.8%, 14.5%, and 47% respectively considering the price; similarly, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) has been improved by 14%, 22.5%, and 32.5% respectively considering demand, and by 8.4%, 21% and 61% respectively considering price. Additionally, the proposed model can produce reliable forecast results without large historical datasets. |
| https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/pdf/10.1080/19397038.2021.1951882?needAccess=true |
Similar Articles
| ID | Score | Article |
|---|---|---|
40672
|
Häring, T; Ahmadiahangar, R; Rosin, A; Korotko, T; Biechl, H Accuracy Analysis of Selected Time Series and Machine Learning Methods for Smart Cities based on Estonian Electricity Consumption Forecast(2020) | |
| 39359
|
Kim, D; Kwon, D; Park, L; Kim, J; Cho, S Multiscale LSTM-Based Deep Learning for Very-Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Generation Forecasting in Smart City Energy Management(2021)Ieee Systems Journal, 15, 1 | |
| 29960
|
Dinesh, LP; Al Khafaf, N; McGrath, B Application of Recurrent Neural Network Model for Short Term Photovoltaic Generation Forecasting(2022) | |
| 64616
|
Buturache, AN; Stancu, S Solar Energy Production Forecast Using Standard Recurrent Neural Networks, Long Short-Term Memory, and Gated Recurrent Unit(2021)Inzinerine Ekonomika-Engineering Economics, 32, 4 | |
| 43022
|
Hong, SH; Seo, B; Jeon, HS; Choi, JM; Lee, KH; Rim, D Comparison of electricity savings in community units through ESS and PV generation using ANN-based prediction model under Korean climatic conditions(2024) | |
| 36672
|
Jindal, A; Aujla, GS; Kumar, N; Prodan, R; Obaidat, MS DRUMS: Demand Response Management in a Smart City Using Deep Learning and SVR(2018) | |
| 14900
|
Luo, XJ; Oyedele, LO Forecasting building energy consumption: Adaptive long-short term memory neural networks driven by genetic algorithm(2021) |