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Title World agricultural baseline scenarios through 2050
ID_Doc 63745
Authors Sands, RD; Suttles, SA
Title World agricultural baseline scenarios through 2050
Year 2022
Published Applied Economic Perspectives And Policy, 44, 4
Abstract The European Green Deal aims to reduce net greenhouse gas emissions to zero by 2050. The effort required to meet greenhouse gas emission targets or other sustainable development goals depends on the difference between baseline levels and policy targets. This paper provides a set of plausible world agricultural baseline scenarios through 2050 with a variety of agricultural indicators: food calories consumed, crop calories produced, average crop yields, and associated greenhouse gas emissions. Growth of agricultural activity varies widely across world regions, from Europe with a relatively stable population to sub-Saharan Africa with rapidly growing populations and per-capita incomes.
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