| Title | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation for the water resources carrying capacity in Xi'an city, China |
|---|---|
| ID_Doc | 67028 |
| Authors | Yang, ZY; Song, JX; Cheng, DD; Xia, J; Li, Q; Ahamad, MI |
| Title | Comprehensive evaluation and scenario simulation for the water resources carrying capacity in Xi'an city, China |
| Year | 2019 |
| Published | |
| Abstract | The quantity and quality of water resources are of great importance in maintaining urban socio-economic development. Accordingly, substantial research has been conducted on the concept of the water resources carrying capacity (WRCC). In this study, analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and system dynamics (SD) models were combined to construct a multi-criteria evaluation system of the WRCC and a socio-economic/water resources SD model for Xi'an. The developmental trends of the society, economy, water supply/demand, and wastewater discharge were obtained from 2015 to 2020 using five scenarios designed for distinct purposes; these scenarios and trends were comprehensively evaluated using a combination of qualitative and quantitative analyses. The results indicated that the WRCC (0.32 in 2020) in Xi'an will shift from a normal to a poor state if the current social development pattern is maintained; therefore, we conclude that the socio-economic development of Xi'an is unsustainable. However, under a comprehensive scheme, the WRCC index (0.64 in 2020) will increase by 48% compared with the WRCC index under a business-as-usual scenario. Further, some practical suggestions, including the promotion of industrial reforms and the improvement of water-use efficiency and recycling policies, were provided for improving the regional WRCC. |
Similar Articles
| ID | Score | Article |
|---|---|---|
74810
|
Liu, B; Qin, XS; Zhang, FL System-dynamics-based scenario simulation and prediction of water carrying capacity for China(2022) | |
| 67004
|
Cui, D; Chen, X; Xue, YL; Li, R; Zeng, WH An integrated approach to investigate the relationship of coupling coordination between social economy and water environment on urban scale - A case study of Kunming(2019) | |
| 6982
|
Wu, X Economic Benefit Evaluation of Water Resources Recycling Utilization based on Analytic Hierarchy Process(2020) | |
| 18972
|
Zhang, LN; Zhuang, Y; Chiu, YH; Pang, QH; Chen, ZB; Shi, Z Measuring urban integrated water use efficiency and spatial migration path in China: A dynamic two-stage recycling model within the directional distance function(2021) | |
| 66993
|
Liu, HY; Zhang, X; Gong, L; Guo, Z; Zhao, Y; Xu, J; Xia, J Multi-scenario simulation and risk analysis of a water-energy coupled system: A case study of Wuhan City, China(2023) | |
| 67518
|
Wen, CL; Dong, WH; Zhang, QC; He, NN; Li, T A system dynamics model to simulate the water-energy-food nexus of resource-based regions: A case study in Daqing City, China(2022) |