| Title | Integrating socio-ecological dynamics into land use policy outcomes: A spatial scenario approach for native forest conservation in south-central Chile |
|---|---|
| ID_Doc | 67171 |
| Authors | Manuschevich, D; Sarricolea, P; Galleguillos, M |
| Title | Integrating socio-ecological dynamics into land use policy outcomes: A spatial scenario approach for native forest conservation in south-central Chile |
| Year | 2019 |
| Published | |
| Abstract | Chile is one of the first documented nations to undergo a forest transition dominated by tree farm expansion. Scenario modelling can inform the possible outcomes of forest conservation policies, especially when the scenarios are rooted in the political dynamics that shaped the current legislation. In Chile, tree farms of non-native Radiata Pine and Eucalyptus provide a fast return on investment. Today, fast-growing plantations compete for land area with forest conservation, putting the unique bundle of ecosystem services provided by the latter at risk. Based on a previous political analysis, we propose scenarios projected to 2030 to compare a business-as-usual scenario with A) a conservation scenario based on strict land use restrictions B) an optimistic conservation scenario; C) an unrestricted industrial land use scenario; and D) a restricted industrial land use scenario. The scenarios differ in terms of the implemented policy instruments and the land area required for each land use. We compared these scenarios in terms of carbon stock, control of erosion and wood production, all of which are relevant in the current Chilean political debate. A conservation scenario (A), that combines incentives and restrictions, would imply the largest increase in native forest and regulation services, namely carbon stock and erosion control. In contrast, an unrestricted industrial land use scenario (C) leads to the worst outcomes in terms of erosion compared to a business-as-usual scenario. This study seeks to link political and economic processes underpinning land use change to environmental outcomes, while contributing to the larger discussion on forest policy, forest transitions and environmental outcomes. |
Similar Articles
| ID | Score | Article |
|---|---|---|
69324
|
Rau, MFN; Calamari, NC; Mosciaro, MJ Dynamics of past forest cover changes and future scenarios with implications for soil degradation in Misiones rainforest, Argentina(2023) | |
| 66299
|
Knoke, T; Weber, M; Barkmann, J; Pohle, P; Calvas, B; Medina, C; Aguirre, N; Günter, S; Stimm, B; Mosandl, R; von Walter, F; Maza, B; Gerique, A Effectiveness And Distributional Impacts Of Payments For Reduced Carbon Emissions From Deforestation(2009)Erdkunde, 63, 4 | |
| 68438
|
Olguin, M; Wayson, C; Fellows, M; Birdsey, R; Smyth, CE; Magnan, M; Dugan, AJ; Mascorro, VS; Alanís, A; Serrano, E; Kurz, AA Applying a systems approach to assess carbon emission reductions from climate change mitigation in Mexico's forest sector(2018)Environmental Research Letters, 13, 3 | |
| 70751
|
Klooster, D Campesinos and Mexican forest policy during the twentieth century(2003)Latin American Research Review, 38, 2 | |
| 66762
|
Cunha, J; Campos, FS; David, J; Padmanaban, R; Cabral, P Carbon sequestration scenarios in Portugal: which way to go forward?(2021)Environmental Monitoring And Assessment, 193, 9 | |
| 76726
|
Blattert, C; Lemm, R; Thürig, E; Stadelmann, G; Brändli, UB; Temperli, C Long-term impacts of increased timber harvests on ecosystem services and biodiversity: A scenario study based on national forest inventory data(2020) | |
| 27090
|
Imbrenda, V; Coluzzi, R; Mariani, F; Nosova, B; Cudlinova, E; Salvia, R; Quaranta, G; Salvati, L; Lanfredi, M Working in (Slow) Progress: Socio-Environmental and Economic Dynamics in the Forestry Sector and the Contribution to Sustainable Development in Europe(2023)Sustainability, 15.0, 13 | |
| 33729
|
Nasiakou, S; Vrahnakis, M; Chouvardas, D; Mamanis, G; Kleftoyanni, V Land Use Changes for Investments in Silvoarable Agriculture Projected by the CLUE-S Spatio-Temporal Model(2022)Land, 11.0, 5 | |
| 21570
|
Troxler, D; Zabel, A Clearing forests to make way for a sustainable economy transition in Switzerland(2021) | |
| 69337
|
Zavala, MA; Angulo, O; de la Parra, RB; Moreno-Fernández, D; Madrigal-González, J Scaling up tree growth to assess forest resilience under increasing aridity: the case of Iberian dry-edge pine forests(2024)Landscape Ecology, 39.0, 1 |