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Title Policy Uncertainty and Technology Adoption
ID_Doc 31657
Authors Dehghani, MH
Title Policy Uncertainty and Technology Adoption
Year 2014
Published B E Journal Of Economic Analysis & Policy, 14, 4
DOI 10.1515/bejeap-2013-0167
Abstract This paper considers technology adoption under both technological and subsidy uncertainties. Uncertainty in subsidies for green technologies is considered as an example. Technological progress is exogenous and modeled as a jump process with a drift. The analytical solution is presented for cases when there is no subsidy uncertainty and when the subsidy changes once. The case when the subsidy follows a time invariant Markov process is analyzed numerically. The results show that improving the innovation process raises the investment thresholds. When technological jumps are small or rare, this improvement reduces the expected time before technology adoption. However, when technological jumps are large or abundant, this improvement may raise this expected time.
Author Keywords real options; technology adoption; policy uncertainty; clean technology; regime switching
Index Keywords Index Keywords
Document Type Other
Open Access Open Access
Source Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
EID WOS:000345303800005
WoS Category Economics
Research Area Business & Economics
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