| Title |
S&T policy and foresight investigation - impacts in Japan |
| ID_Doc |
32391 |
| Authors |
Urashima, K; Yokoo, Y; Nagano, H |
| Title |
S&T policy and foresight investigation - impacts in Japan |
| Year |
2012 |
| Published |
Foresight, 14, 1 |
| DOI |
10.1108/14636681211210332 |
| Abstract |
Purpose - The 9th S&T Foresight for Japan has recently been completed. A key element of this Foresight is that S&T is now expected to indicate solutions for broad social issues and global issues (climate change, etc.) including those that address Japan's most urgent challenges (e.g. energy, aging population). This mission-oriented foresight is novel for the Japanese, since prior foresight exercises have been done with a technology focus. This paper aims to address how the new view of foresight - as more than mere technical potentials - has resulted in several types of foresight impacts, which are noted in the main text. Design/methodology/approach - The 9th Delphi Survey involved two types of interdisciplinary perspectives related to Japan's social future (Safe, Secure, Cooperation and Collaboration) and 12 S&T fields. The committees discussed what could emerge within 30 years and involved 26 domains of social expertise and 140 specialists. Findings - The 9th S&T Foresight investigation consists of an integration of three foresight methods Delphi survey, scenario writing, and capability of local regions for green innovation - regarding sustainable development. Each method provides clear messages, and has unique impacts. Originality/value - Overall, a major foresight impact has been to enable a broader view of innovation to prevail in this ninth foresight, where social-scenario insights and more socially adaptive policies complement the traditional S&T focus developed by Delphi surveys 1-8. This shifted the policy discourse toward societal innovation from technical innovation. |
| Author Keywords |
Foresight; Delphi survey; Science and technology policy; Scenario; Delphi method; Japan; Forecasting |
| Index Keywords |
Index Keywords |
| Document Type |
Other |
| Open Access |
Open Access |
| Source |
Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI) |
| EID |
WOS:000213127900003 |
| WoS Category |
Regional & Urban Planning |
| Research Area |
Public Administration |
| PDF |
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