| Title |
Deforestation modeling in the MATOPIBA region |
| ID_Doc |
73388 |
| Authors |
Matricardi, EAT; Aguiar, AS; Miguel, EP; Angelo, H; Gaspar, RD |
| Title |
Deforestation modeling in the MATOPIBA region |
| Year |
2018 |
| Published |
Nativa, 6, 2 |
| DOI |
10.31413/nativa.v6i2.5092 |
| Abstract |
Most of deforestation of native vegetation in the MATOPIBA (MAranhdo, TOcantins, PIaui, and BAhia) region is related to the expansion of the production activities of agricultural commodities.The deforestation monitoring using remotely sensed data and GIS techniques, associated with the development of spatially explicit modeling can contribute to better understanding the variables related to deforestation and allows the simulation of future trajectories of this phenomenon. In this research, we proposed and simulated deforestation scenarios (trend, optimistic and pessimistic) for the MATOPIBA region between 2011 and 2050 based on deforestation observed in 2002, 2008, and 2010. This study results indicate an increase of deforestation of 10.3, 15.3, and 10.9 million hectares between 2011 and 2050 assuming the optimistic, business as usual, and pessimistic scenarios, respectively. It would increase deforestation in 55%, 82%, and 85% (optimistic, business as usual, and pessimistic, respectively) when compared to the total observed deforestation by 2010. This research results may help decision and policy makers to improve strategies to reduce deforestation and improve sustainable development in the MATOPIBA region. |
| Author Keywords |
MATOPIBA region; spatial modeling; deforestation scenarios |
| Index Keywords |
Index Keywords |
| Document Type |
Other |
| Open Access |
Open Access |
| Source |
Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI) |
| EID |
WOS:000432366900014 |
| WoS Category |
Agriculture, Multidisciplinary |
| Research Area |
Agriculture |
| PDF |
https://doi.org/10.31413/nativa.v6i2.5092
|