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Title Dynamic Modeling of Kosovo's Electricity Supply-Demand, Gaseous Emissions and Air Pollution
ID_Doc 73715
Authors Bekteshi, S; Kabashi, S; Ahmetaj, S; Slaus, I; Zidansek, A; Podrimqaku, K; Kastrati, S
Title Dynamic Modeling of Kosovo's Electricity Supply-Demand, Gaseous Emissions and Air Pollution
Year 2015
Published Journal Of Sustainable Development Of Energy Water And Environment Systems-Jsdewes, 3, 3
DOI 10.13044/j.sdewes.2015.03.0023
Abstract In this paper is described the developing of an integrated electricity supply-demand, gaseous emission and air pollution model for study of possible baseline electricity developments and available options to mitigate emissions. This model is constructed in STELLA software, which makes use of Systems Dynamics Modeling as the methodology. Several baseline scenarios have been developed from this model and a set of options of possible developments of Kosovo's Electricity Supply-Demand and Gaseous Emissions are investigated. The analysis of various scenarios results in Medium Growth Scenarios (MGS) that imply building of generation capacities and increase in participation of the electricity generation from renewable sources. MGS would be 10% of the total electricity generation and ensure sustainable development of the electricity sector. At the same time, by implementation of new technologies, this would be accompanied by reduced Greenhouse Gases (GHG) (CO2 and NOx) emissions by 60% and significant reduction for air pollutants (dust and SO2) by 40% compared to the Business-As-Usual (BAU) case. Conclusively, obtained results show that building of new generation capacities by introducing new technologies and orientation on environmentally friendly energy sources can ensure sustainable development of the electricity sector in Kosovo.
Author Keywords Modeling; Electricity demand; Electricity supply; Emissions; Scenarios; System dynamics
Index Keywords Index Keywords
Document Type Other
Open Access Open Access
Source Emerging Sources Citation Index (ESCI)
EID WOS:000436898300007
WoS Category Environmental Sciences
Research Area Environmental Sciences & Ecology
PDF https://doi.org/10.13044/j.sdewes.2015.03.0023
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