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Scientific Article details

Title Modelling the transition towards a green economy in South Africa
ID_Doc 75111
Authors Musango, JK; Brent, AC; Bassi, AM
Title Modelling the transition towards a green economy in South Africa
Year 2014
Published
DOI 10.1016/j.techfore.2013.12.022
Abstract This paper presents the results of an analysis carried out using an integrated system dynamics model customised to South Africa, which was developed to study the contribution of technology policies to a green economy transition in South Africa. Two business-as-usual scenarios (BAU1 and BAU2) and two green economy scenarios (GE2% and GETS) were simulated. The results show that green economy interventions impact positively on the main indicators selected across sectors: reducing emissions, lowering the dependence on fossil fuels, particularly for the power sector, and contributing to a more sustainable utilisation of natural resources. Further, it is determined that investments in low carbon development and ecosystem services management also yield a more resilient economic growth in the medium and longer terms. (C) 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Author Keywords Green economy; System dynamics; South Africa; SAGEM
Index Keywords Index Keywords
Document Type Other
Open Access Open Access
Source Social Science Citation Index (SSCI)
EID WOS:000340862600020
WoS Category Business; Regional & Urban Planning
Research Area Business & Economics; Public Administration
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