| Title |
The socio-economic modelling of the ALARM scenarios with GINFORS: results and analysis for selected European countries |
| ID_Doc |
79397 |
| Authors |
Stocker, A; Omann, I; Jäger, J |
| Title |
The socio-economic modelling of the ALARM scenarios with GINFORS: results and analysis for selected European countries |
| Year |
2012 |
| Published |
Global Ecology And Biogeography, 21.0, 1 |
| DOI |
10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00639.x |
| Abstract |
Aim This paper identifies socio-economic driving forces of biodiversity change and analyses their political and economic dynamics by modelling socio-economic parts of three scenario storylines developed for the ALARM (assessing large-scale risks for biodiversity with tested methods) project. In the BAMBU (business-as-might-be-usual) scenario policy decisions already made in the European Union (EU) are implemented and enforced, but no additional measures are introduced. The GRAS (growth applied strategy) scenario describes a future world orientated towards economic growth and complete deregulation. And finally, SEDG (sustainable European development goal) is a normative scenario focusing on the achievement of sustainable development. |
| Author Keywords |
Biodiversity; global change; macroeconometric models; scenario storylines; socio-economic modelling; sustainable development |
| Index Keywords |
Index Keywords |
| Document Type |
Other |
| Open Access |
Open Access |
| Source |
Science Citation Index Expanded (SCI-EXPANDED); Social Science Citation Index (SSCI) |
| EID |
WOS:000298020200004 |
| WoS Category |
Ecology; Geography, Physical |
| Research Area |
Environmental Sciences & Ecology; Physical Geography |
| PDF |
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